SB 20/21: The lowest crop in the last 10 years in the region
With a production of 14.5 Million of MT, the oilseed will mark its lowest point in the history of the last decade of the region. Maize reached the highest acreage in this period, but La Niña did not allow it to express itself in record production.
Rains between Monday and Tuesday; later cold
The advance of a cold frontal system will cause rains during Monday and the first part of Tuesday. Then, a sharp drop in temperature.
“The forecasting models indicate that the stability characteristics caused by the change in the air mass will be maintained, at least, until the beginning of next week” comments José Luis Aiello, Dr. in Cs. Atmospheric.
20/21 SB production falls 19% and is the lowest on the last decade in the region.
The 20/21 SB cycle will be marked not only by the smallest area sown in the last 10 years in the region, 4.8 Million ha; but also because of the lower production. With the first SB harvest reaching its end, 90% of the area was threshed, the yield is consolidated at 35 qq / ha. The lowest values are being obtained in the northeast of Buenos Aires province with averages of 32 qq / ha. While the highest average yields occur in the southeast of Córdoba province with 39 qq / ha. Half of the second-class SB harvested in the region marks an average yield of 23 qq / ha. The region averages a yield of 31.1 qq / ha. With these data, the region would contribute 14.5 Million of MT to national production, 19% less than the previous season, and a 25% drop compared to the average production of the last 10 years in the region.
With 14.5 Mt, the production of maize would tie to that of SB
Despite the fact that the area planted with maize is the largest in the last 10 years in the core region, the drought did not lead to record production. Cereal yields were marked by the lack of water characteristic of the 2020/21 campaign. However, this drop was not as abrupt as that of SB. The average total maize yield in the region continues to stand at 93.7 qq / ha, the historical record for the last 10 years being 91 qq / ha. But if we compare it with the average of the last 5 years, it is 4.3 qq lower. Cereal production would be located at 14.5 Million of Mt and would occupy the third position of the highest production in the ranking of the last 10 campaigns. Compared to the most recent season (2019/20), current maize production falls by 720 thousand tons (5%) due to the La Niña effect.
Source: https://bcr.com.ar/
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